Gas price near bottom: fuel manager

Published Saturday January 3rd, 2009

Driving Wilson Fuels official expects price to stay below dollar mark for winter

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SAINT JOHN - It's been called the weather's replacement for a fall-back, small-talk subject, and the five-year low gas price of 65.9 cents a litre is certainly a topic that has people talking.

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Cindy Wilson/Telegraph-Journal
Jim Creamer fills up at the Canadian Tire gas bar on Rothesay Avenue Friday with gas prices dipping to 65.9 cents a litre.

But how low can the gasoline limbo pole go? Not much further, says a local fuel company manager.

"We're finding our way to the bottom, if we're not at the bottom now," said Kevin McCann, the New Brunswick general manager for Wilson Fuels, an Atlantic Canadian wholesaler.

The main cause for the low prices is motorists are not buying as much gas, and while the low prices may only seem like more incentive to drive for people in the Saint John area, overall demand in North America and the world is down.

McCann said it is important to remember gasoline is a commodity.

"It trades on the market much like Scotiabank of Royal Bank or any company trades. So really what drives those commodities are supply and demand.

"Right now everything seems to be fairly good on the supply side, it's just demand is fairly weak right now."

But that demand will likely improve as economies around the world recover from their downturns, McCann said, and the prices will begin to rise again.

"I know most governments have stepped in with stimulus packages. (But) it takes a while for those to work their way through the system.

"That being said, I don't see ourselves returning to $1.42 anytime soon. January, February, March, I would say we will wallow firmly below the dollar mark and it's hard to predict beyond that."

But the price could change, depending on the conflict on the Gaza Strip.

"That could cause some supply issues because a third of the world's oil comes through there," McCann said. "If that problem escalates itsel, who knows what could happen on the supply side."

But even with that uncertainty, McCann expects the price of gas will stay below a dollar per litre this winter.

"It's a good low price right now for consumers," he said.

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So why are we still paying over 90 cents a litre for diesel
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Joe Doucette, Hampton on 03/01/09 01:14:18 PM AST
Yes! The old comment of supply and demand! I would beleive the demand in Texas is higher than here in Saint John and they are paying 34.5 cents a liter. Even if you add another 20% to that it is still 41.4 cents a liter. In Ontario their prices are a lower that here in Atlantic Canada and their demand is higher! So what gives!
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R Harrington, Saint John on 03/01/09 05:46:54 PM AST
McCann knows we are still being ripped off by high gas prices,and i am sure it irritates him, that is why he is saying it will go back up. That is his desire,to see higher gas prices and more gouging by his company.
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lindsay bolan, saint john on 03/01/09 11:36:20 PM AST
McCann likes to be in the news. My favorite is when he's telling us we are "suffering" because of price regulation when the price is higher than other areas. He forgets, quite often obviously, that Gasoline Price Regulation in NB only sets the maximum price, so any day Mr. McCann (or others) want to give us a break at the pumps, they can set the price at any price under the maximum.....so, give us a break some day!
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Tony Andrews, Not Saint John on 04/01/09 12:54:53 AM AST
If it is all based on supply and demand perse, than how is it when we have the largest refinery in north america here in our back yard, yet when we break it down based on supply in demand ie: a refinery that produces 300,000 barrels a day and a province that consumes about 20,000. Yet we pay more per litre that cities that have to transport it thousands of miles. So if we break it down the supply and demand numbers just don't add up.

However price fixing by the only supplier does.Say this with me MONOPOLY.
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Joe Doucette, Hampton on 04/01/09 02:30:49 PM AST
Since when does one third of the world's oil go through the Gaza Strip? They try to use anything for an excuse to escalate prices these days.
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B Hanley, Calgary on 04/01/09 08:22:28 PM AST
It cost no more to refine oil today than it did tens years ago, in fact it is less expensive. The oil companies and speculators know that they have us by the warm and fuzzies. Until we stand up for our rights, expect more.

PS, why have food prices not gone down? Why have power rates not gone down? Why have taxi rates not fallen? etc, etc, etc. Seems these businesses cry to high heaven that they cannot make money and survive when the price of gas is high, but now that it is at a 5 year low, these companies are being very quiet and reeling it profits off of us.
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The Truth, Saint John on 05/01/09 01:57:56 PM AST
But the price could change, depending on the conflict on the Gaza Strip.

"That could cause some supply issues because a third of the world's oil comes through there," McCann said. "If that problem escalates itsel, who knows what could happen on the supply side."

This statement by McCann kills me. He better get a map out and study it.
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The Truth, Saint John on 05/01/09 01:59:30 PM AST
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